Study on Forecasting Method of Forest Fire Risk Grade in Putian City, China

Gefu  Zhuang

doi:10.4236/gep.2019.712014

Gefu Zhuang

Abstract:

From January 1, 2014, the basic stations of meteorological observation countries have changed from small evaporation observations to large-scale evaporation observations. National general weather stations have canceled observations on evaporation, but small evaporation is very important for forest fire risk prediction. In order to make the prediction of forest fire risk level objectively, weather data in Putian City, China and the multi-linear regression analysis method is used to calculate the daily evaporation amount in the more advanced SPSS16.0 software (English version), and the data of the last 5 years of each site are selected and fitted. Results showed that we accurately calculated the evaporation of the next day to make up for the lack of data due to the adjustment of the evaporation observation project. According to the forest fire risk weather index corresponding to many meteorological factors such as evaporation, temperature, humidity, sunshine and wind speed, the forest fire risk meteorological grade standard was designed to make a more accurate forest fire risk grade forecast.

Keywords: Evaporation, Weather Index, Forest Fire Risk, Rating

Cite this paper: Zhuang, G. (2019) Study on Forecasting Method of Forest Fire Risk Grade in Putian City, China. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 7, 198-205. doi: 10.4236/gep.2019.712014.

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