ABSTRACT Since the middle age of 1980s, China has made great performance at economic growth, and greatly improved its innovation level. As the representation index of innovation activity, patents number growth is also significant. This paper constructed quintic overdetermined equation of one variable to simulate the trend of patent number varying with the time from 1985 to 2010, made use of Matlab Software and took the solution of simulation model. By comparing the simulation curve and real data curve, good agreement is obtained. After F-test and comparison between the simulation data and real data of 2008, 2009, 2010 respectively, it is believed that the simulation model is reliable. Based on this model, scientific estimation about the variation of Chinese patents from 2011 to 2014 is presented.
Cite this paper
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