No Solar Signal in Temperature Proxies from Antarctica
Affiliation(s)
1 A.F. Ioffe Physico-Technical Institute, St. Petersburg, Russia. 2 Central Astronomical Observatory at Pulkovo, Pulkovo, Russia. 3 Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Rovaniemi, Finla. 4 St. Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russia.
1 A.F. Ioffe Physico-Technical Institute, St. Petersburg, Russia. 2 Central Astronomical Observatory at Pulkovo, Pulkovo, Russia. 3 Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Rovaniemi, Finla. 4 St. Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russia.
ABSTRACT
We analyzed a number of Antarctic climatic proxies including: 1) an annual proxy covering the time interval 1800-2003, 2) four low-resolution (tens to hundreds of years) ice core records covering the last 242,000 years. The main goal of the work was to search for traces of solar influence on Antarctic climate. Both Fourier and wavelet approaches were used in the statistical analyses. We found no evident fingerprints of solar cycles of Schwabe (ca 11 years), Hale (ca 22 years), Gleissberg (century-scale) or Hallstatt (ca 2000 years). Instead a strong variation with period ca 9800 - 11,600 years is present in the long temperature proxies during the last 242,000 years. It was shown that this variation likely was the result of varying CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, although some solar influence cannot be fully excluded. No features of a quasi 10,000 year variation were found in the Greenland δ18O record. The results show that solar-climatic relationship in Antarctica is weaker than in the high-latitude areas of the Northern Hemisphere.
We analyzed a number of Antarctic climatic proxies including: 1) an annual proxy covering the time interval 1800-2003, 2) four low-resolution (tens to hundreds of years) ice core records covering the last 242,000 years. The main goal of the work was to search for traces of solar influence on Antarctic climate. Both Fourier and wavelet approaches were used in the statistical analyses. We found no evident fingerprints of solar cycles of Schwabe (ca 11 years), Hale (ca 22 years), Gleissberg (century-scale) or Hallstatt (ca 2000 years). Instead a strong variation with period ca 9800 - 11,600 years is present in the long temperature proxies during the last 242,000 years. It was shown that this variation likely was the result of varying CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, although some solar influence cannot be fully excluded. No features of a quasi 10,000 year variation were found in the Greenland δ18O record. The results show that solar-climatic relationship in Antarctica is weaker than in the high-latitude areas of the Northern Hemisphere.
Cite this paper
Ogurtsov, M. , Lindholm, M. , Jalkanen, R. , Veretenenko, S. (2015) No Solar Signal in Temperature Proxies from Antarctica. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 5, 418-425. doi: 10.4236/acs.2015.54033.
Ogurtsov, M. , Lindholm, M. , Jalkanen, R. , Veretenenko, S. (2015) No Solar Signal in Temperature Proxies from Antarctica. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 5, 418-425. doi: 10.4236/acs.2015.54033.
References
[1] De Jager, C. (2005) Solar Forcing of Climate: Solar Variability. Space Science Reviews, 120, 197-241.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11214-005-7046-5 [2] Gray, L.J., Beer, J., Geller, M., Haigh, J.D., Lockwood, M., Matthes, K., Cubasch, U., Fleitmann, D., Harrison, G., Hood, L., Luterbacher, J., Meehl, G.A., Shindell, D., van Geel, B. and White, W. (2010) Solar Influences on Climate. Reviews of Geophysics, 48, Article ID: RG4001.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000282 [3] Lockwood, M. (2010) Solar Change and Climate: An Update in the Light of the Current Exceptional Solar Minimum. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 466, 303-329.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2009.0519 [4] Douglass, D.H. and Knox, R.S. (2015) The Sun Is the Climate Pacemaker II. Global Ocean Temperatures. Physics Letters A, 379, 830-834. [5] Jiang, H., Muscheler, R., Bjorck, S., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., et al. (2015) Solar Forcing of Holocene Summer Sea-Surface Temperatures in the Northern North Atlantic. Geology, 43, 203-206.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/g36377.1 [6] Ogurtsov, M., Lindholm, M., Jalkanen, R. and Veretenenko, S.V. (2015) Evidence for the Gleissberg Solar Cycle at the High-Latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. Advances in Space Research, 55, 1285-1290.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2014.11.031 [7] Ogurtsov, M.G., Kocharov, G.E., Lindholm, M., et al. (2002) Evidence of Solar Variation in Tree-Ring-Based Climate Reconstructions. Solar Physics, 205, 403-417.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1014277121166 [8] Ogurtsov, M., Lindholm, M., Jalkanen, R. and Veretenenko, S.V. (2013) New Evidence of Solar Variation in Temperature Proxies from Northern Fennoscandia. Advances in Space Research, 52, 1647-1654.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2013.07.039 [9] Schneider, D.P., Steig, E.J., van Ommen, T.D., et al. (2006) Antarctic Temperatures over the Past Two Centuries from Ice Cores. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, Article ID: L16707.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006gl027057 [10] van Ommen, T.D. and Morgan, V. (1997) Calibrating the Ice Core Paleothermometer Using Seasonality. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 9351-9357.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/96JD04014 [11] Mosley-Thompson, E., Thompson, L.G., Grootes, P.M. and Gunderstrup, N. (1990) Little Ice Age (Neoglacial) Paleo Environmental Conditions at Siple Station, Antarctica. Annals of Glaciology, 14, 199-204. [12] Graf, W., Oester, H., Reinwarth, O., et al. (2002) Stable Isotope Records from Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. Annals of Glaciology, 35, 195-201.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3189/172756402781816492 [13] Steig, E.J., Mayewski, P., Dixon, D., et al. (2005) High-Resolution Ice Cores from US-ITASE (West Antarctica): Development and Validation of Chronologies and Determination of Precision and Accuracy. Annals of Glaciology, 41, 77-84.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3189/172756405781813311 [14] Petit, J.R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., et al. (1999) Climate and Atmospheric History of the Past 420,000 Years from the Vostok Ice Core, Antarctica. Science, 399, 429-435. [15] Lorius, C., Jouzel, J., Ritz, C., et al. (1985) A 150,000-Year Climatic Record from Antarctic Ice. Nature, 316, 591-596.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/316591a0 [16] Sowers, T., Bender, M., Labeyrie, L.D., et al. (1993) 135 000 Year Vostok-SPECMAP Common Temporal Framework. Paleoceanography, 8, 737-766.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/93PA02328 [17] Jouzel, J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Cattani, O., et al. (2007) Orbital and Millennial Antarctic Climate Variability over the Past 800,000 Years. Science, 317, 793-797.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1141038 [18] Kawamura, K., Parrenin, F., Lisiecki, L., et al. (2007) Northern Hemisphere Forcing of Climatic Cycles in Antarctica over the Past 360,000 Years. Nature, 448, 912-916.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature06015 [19] Pol, V., Debret, M., Masson-Delmotte, V., et al. (2011) Links between MIS 11 Millennial to Sub-Millennial Climate Variability and Long Term Trends as Revealed by New High Resolution EPICA Dome C Deuterium Data—A Comparison with the Holocene. Climate of the Past, 7, 437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-7-437-2011 [20] Waelbroeck, C., Jouzel, J., Labeyrie, L., et al. (1995) Comparing the Vostok Ice Deuterium Record and Series from Southern Ocean Core MD 88-770 over the Last Two Glacial-Interglacial Cycles. Climatic Dynamics, 12, 113-123.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00223724 [21] Shackleton, N.J. (2000) The 100,000-Year Ice-Age Cycle Identified and Found to Lag Temperature, Carbon Dioxide, and Orbital Eccentricity. Science, 289, 1897-1901.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5486.1897 [22] Reimer, P.J., Baillie, M.G.L., Bard, E., et al. (2009) INTCAL09 and MARINE09 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves, 0-50,000 Years Cal BP. Radiocarbon, 51, 1111-1150. [23] Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Svensson, A., et al. (2014) Persistent Link between Solar Activity and Greenland Climate during the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Geoscience, 7, 662-666.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2225
[1] De Jager, C. (2005) Solar Forcing of Climate: Solar Variability. Space Science Reviews, 120, 197-241.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11214-005-7046-5 [2] Gray, L.J., Beer, J., Geller, M., Haigh, J.D., Lockwood, M., Matthes, K., Cubasch, U., Fleitmann, D., Harrison, G., Hood, L., Luterbacher, J., Meehl, G.A., Shindell, D., van Geel, B. and White, W. (2010) Solar Influences on Climate. Reviews of Geophysics, 48, Article ID: RG4001.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000282 [3] Lockwood, M. (2010) Solar Change and Climate: An Update in the Light of the Current Exceptional Solar Minimum. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 466, 303-329.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2009.0519 [4] Douglass, D.H. and Knox, R.S. (2015) The Sun Is the Climate Pacemaker II. Global Ocean Temperatures. Physics Letters A, 379, 830-834. [5] Jiang, H., Muscheler, R., Bjorck, S., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., et al. (2015) Solar Forcing of Holocene Summer Sea-Surface Temperatures in the Northern North Atlantic. Geology, 43, 203-206.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/g36377.1 [6] Ogurtsov, M., Lindholm, M., Jalkanen, R. and Veretenenko, S.V. (2015) Evidence for the Gleissberg Solar Cycle at the High-Latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. Advances in Space Research, 55, 1285-1290.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2014.11.031 [7] Ogurtsov, M.G., Kocharov, G.E., Lindholm, M., et al. (2002) Evidence of Solar Variation in Tree-Ring-Based Climate Reconstructions. Solar Physics, 205, 403-417.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1014277121166 [8] Ogurtsov, M., Lindholm, M., Jalkanen, R. and Veretenenko, S.V. (2013) New Evidence of Solar Variation in Temperature Proxies from Northern Fennoscandia. Advances in Space Research, 52, 1647-1654.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2013.07.039 [9] Schneider, D.P., Steig, E.J., van Ommen, T.D., et al. (2006) Antarctic Temperatures over the Past Two Centuries from Ice Cores. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, Article ID: L16707.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006gl027057 [10] van Ommen, T.D. and Morgan, V. (1997) Calibrating the Ice Core Paleothermometer Using Seasonality. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 9351-9357.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/96JD04014 [11] Mosley-Thompson, E., Thompson, L.G., Grootes, P.M. and Gunderstrup, N. (1990) Little Ice Age (Neoglacial) Paleo Environmental Conditions at Siple Station, Antarctica. Annals of Glaciology, 14, 199-204. [12] Graf, W., Oester, H., Reinwarth, O., et al. (2002) Stable Isotope Records from Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. Annals of Glaciology, 35, 195-201.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3189/172756402781816492 [13] Steig, E.J., Mayewski, P., Dixon, D., et al. (2005) High-Resolution Ice Cores from US-ITASE (West Antarctica): Development and Validation of Chronologies and Determination of Precision and Accuracy. Annals of Glaciology, 41, 77-84.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3189/172756405781813311 [14] Petit, J.R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., et al. (1999) Climate and Atmospheric History of the Past 420,000 Years from the Vostok Ice Core, Antarctica. Science, 399, 429-435. [15] Lorius, C., Jouzel, J., Ritz, C., et al. (1985) A 150,000-Year Climatic Record from Antarctic Ice. Nature, 316, 591-596.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/316591a0 [16] Sowers, T., Bender, M., Labeyrie, L.D., et al. (1993) 135 000 Year Vostok-SPECMAP Common Temporal Framework. Paleoceanography, 8, 737-766.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/93PA02328 [17] Jouzel, J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Cattani, O., et al. (2007) Orbital and Millennial Antarctic Climate Variability over the Past 800,000 Years. Science, 317, 793-797.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1141038 [18] Kawamura, K., Parrenin, F., Lisiecki, L., et al. (2007) Northern Hemisphere Forcing of Climatic Cycles in Antarctica over the Past 360,000 Years. Nature, 448, 912-916.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature06015 [19] Pol, V., Debret, M., Masson-Delmotte, V., et al. (2011) Links between MIS 11 Millennial to Sub-Millennial Climate Variability and Long Term Trends as Revealed by New High Resolution EPICA Dome C Deuterium Data—A Comparison with the Holocene. Climate of the Past, 7, 437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-7-437-2011 [20] Waelbroeck, C., Jouzel, J., Labeyrie, L., et al. (1995) Comparing the Vostok Ice Deuterium Record and Series from Southern Ocean Core MD 88-770 over the Last Two Glacial-Interglacial Cycles. Climatic Dynamics, 12, 113-123.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00223724 [21] Shackleton, N.J. (2000) The 100,000-Year Ice-Age Cycle Identified and Found to Lag Temperature, Carbon Dioxide, and Orbital Eccentricity. Science, 289, 1897-1901.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5486.1897 [22] Reimer, P.J., Baillie, M.G.L., Bard, E., et al. (2009) INTCAL09 and MARINE09 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves, 0-50,000 Years Cal BP. Radiocarbon, 51, 1111-1150. [23] Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Svensson, A., et al. (2014) Persistent Link between Solar Activity and Greenland Climate during the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Geoscience, 7, 662-666.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2225