[1] Vaughan, C. and Dessai, S. (2014) Climate Services for Society: Origins, Institutional Arrangements, and Design Elements for an Evaluation Framework. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change, 5, 587-603.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.290
[2] Flato, G.M. (2011) Earth System Models: An Overview. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change, 2, 783-800.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.148
[3] Chou, S.C., Marengo, J.A., Lyra, A.A., Sueiro, G., Pesquero, J.F., Alves, L.M., Kay, G., Betts, R., Chagas, D.J., Gomes, J.L., Bustamante, J.F. and Tavares, P. (2012) Downscaling of South America Present Climate Driven by 4-Member HadCM3 Runs. Climate Dynamics, 38, 635-653.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1002-8
[4] Pesquero, J.F., Chou, S.C., Nobre, C.A. and Marengo, J.A. (2010) Climate Downscaling over South America for 1961-1970 Using the Eta Model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99, 75-93.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0123-z
[5] Chou, S.C., Lyra, A., Mourão, C., Dereczynski, C., Pilotto, I., Gomes, J., Bustamante, J., Tavares, P., Silva, A., Rodrigues, D., Campos, D., Chagas, D., Sueiro, G., Siqueira, G. and Nobre, P. (2014) Evaluation of the Eta Simulations Nested in Three Global Climate Models. American Journal of Climate Change, 3, 438-454.
http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2014.35039
[6] Adger, W.N. (2006) Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, 16, 268-281.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006
[7] Marengo, J., Aragao, L., Cox, P., Costa, D., Smith, L., Alves, L., Betts, R., Kaye, N., Hacon, S.S. and Reis, V. (2015) Impacts of Climate Extremes in Brazil: The Development of a Web Platform for Understanding. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (submitted).
[8] Aragão, L.E.O.C.A., Marengo, J.L., Cox, P., Costa, D., Smith, L., Betts, R., Kaye, N., et al. (2015) Climate Impacts on Ecosystems and Human-Health in Brazil Quantified Using a Web Platform for Decision-Making. Environmental Research Letters (submitted).
[9] Pinheiro, S.L.L.A., Hacon, S.S., Siqueira, A.S.P., Gonçalves, K.S., Costa, D. and Oliveira, A. (2015a) Health Vulnerability to Climate Change in Brazil: Mapping Composite Indexes Based on Principal Component Analysis. EcoHealth (submitted).
[10] Pinheiro, S.L.L.A., Hacon, S.S., Siqueira, A.S.P., Gonçalves, K.S., Costa, D. and Oliveira, A. (2015) Heat Waves and Health: Vulnerabilities, Risk and Impacts on Mortality Considering Climate Change Scenarios in Brazil. Weather and Climate Extremes, In Preparation.
[11] Nairn, J., Fawcett, R. and Ray, D. (2009) CAWCR Technical Report No. 071: Modelling and Understanding High Impact Weather. Proceedings of the Third CAWCR Modelling Workshop, Melbourne, 30 November-2 December 2009, 83-86.
[12] Perkins, S.E. and Alexander, L.V. (2013) On the Measurement of Heat Waves. Journal of Climate, 26, 4500-4517.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00383.1
[13] Fischer, E.M. and Schär, C. (2010) Consistent Geographical Patterns of Changes in High-Impact European Heatwaves. Nature Geoscience, 3, 398-403.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo866
[14] Meehl, G.A. and Tebaldi, C. (2004) More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century. Science, 305, 994-997.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1098704
[15] Huth, R., Kysely, J. and Pokorná, L. (2000) A GCM Simulation of Heat Waves, Dry Spells, and Their Relationships to Circulation. Climatic Change, 46, 29-60.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1005633925903
[16] Alexander, L.V. and Arblaster, J.M. (2009) Assessing Trends in Observed and Modelled Climate Extremes over Australia in Relation to Future Projections. International Journal of Climatology, 29, 417-435.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1730
[17] Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G.C., Jones, P., Tank, A.K., Peterson, T.C., Trewin, B. and Zwiers, F.W. (2011) Indices for Monitoring Changes in Extremes Based on Daily Temperature and Precipitation Data. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2, 851-870.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147
[18] Sillmann, J., Kharin, V.V., Zwiers, F.W., Zhang, X. and Bronaugh, D. (2013) Climate Extremes Indices in the CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensemble: Part 2. Future Climate Projections. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 2473-2493.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50188
[19] Fischer, E.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Lüthi, D. and Schär, C. (2007) Contribution of Land-Atmosphere Coupling to Recent European Summer Heat Waves. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, 1-6.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006GL029068
[20] Oliveira, A., Hacon, S.S., Costa, D., Pinheiro, S., Pereira, C., et al. (2015) Impacto das projeções de temperatura ambiente na diarreia infantil no Brasil. Revista Pan Americana de Salud Publica (submitted).
[21] Oulton, N. (2012) Hooray for GDP! Centre for Economic Performance Occasional Papers, CEPOP30. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London.