Application of Commensurability in Earthquake Prediction
Affiliation(s)
1 Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming, China. 2 Yunnan Observatory, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, China.
1 Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming, China. 2 Yunnan Observatory, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, China.
ABSTRACT
This article introduces application of the expanding commensurability in earthquake prediction. The results show that most of the world’s major earthquake occurred at their commensurable points of time axis. An EQ 7.0 occurred in Lushan of China on 2013-04-20 and an EQ 8.2 occurred in Iquique of northern Chile on 2014-04-01 all occurred at their commensurable points of time axis. This once again proves that the commensurability provides an important scientific basis for the prediction of major earthquakes, which will occur in the area in future.
This article introduces application of the expanding commensurability in earthquake prediction. The results show that most of the world’s major earthquake occurred at their commensurable points of time axis. An EQ 7.0 occurred in Lushan of China on 2013-04-20 and an EQ 8.2 occurred in Iquique of northern Chile on 2014-04-01 all occurred at their commensurable points of time axis. This once again proves that the commensurability provides an important scientific basis for the prediction of major earthquakes, which will occur in the area in future.
Cite this paper
Su, Y. and Hu, H. (2015) Application of Commensurability in Earthquake Prediction. International Journal of Geosciences, 6, 619-624. doi: 10.4236/ijg.2015.66049.
Su, Y. and Hu, H. (2015) Application of Commensurability in Earthquake Prediction. International Journal of Geosciences, 6, 619-624. doi: 10.4236/ijg.2015.66049.
References
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11770-005-0023-7 [6] Fan, C.R. and Li, X.B. (2008) Commensurable Network Structural Drawing of Major Drought and Flood in Three Gorges of Changjiang and Bengbu of Huaihe. China Flood & Drought Management, 2, 41-45. [7] Lin, H., Su, Y.J., Han, Y.B. and Hu, H. (2009) Commensurability of the Earthquakes of Kunlun Area in Xinjiang. Journal of Natural disasters, 18, 189-191. [8] Zhang, Y.Z., et al. (1980) Encyclopaedia of China: Astronomy. Encyclopaedia of China Press, Beijing, 375, [9] Weng, W.B. (1981) Commensurability. Acta Geophysical Sinica, 24, 151-154. [10] Weng, W.B. (1984) Fundmentals of Forecasting Theory. Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing. [11] Xu, D.Y. (1992) The Prediction of California Earthquakes in USA in 1992—A Lecture Given by Prof. Weng Wen-Bo. Acta Geophysica Sinica, 36, 801. (In Chinese) [12] Weng, W.B. (1992) Letter of Green Giving to Weng Wenbo (Personal Communicate of Letter). In: Wang, M.T., et al., Eds., Academician Weng Wenbo and His Forecast for Natural Disaster, Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing, 235. [13] Green, C.H. (1992) Letter of Weng Wenbo Giving to Green (Personal Communicate of Letter). In: Wang, M.T., et al., Eds., Academician Weng Wenbo and His Forecast for Natural Disaster, Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing, 233. [14] Long, X.X., Yan, J.P., Sun, H. and Wang, Z.Z. (2006) Study on Earthquake Tendency in Sichuan-Yunnan Region Based on Commensurability. Journal of Atastrophology, 21, 81-84. [15] Engdahl, E.R. and Villasenor, A. (2002) Global Seismicity: 1900-1999. In: Lee, H.K., Kanamori, H., Jennings, P.C., et al., Eds., International Handbook of Earthquake and Engineering Seismology, Part A, Academic Press, Amsterdam.
[1] Geller, R.J., Jackson, D.D., Kagan, Y.Y., et al. (1997) Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted. Science, 275, 1616-1617. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5306.1616 [2] Nieto, M.M. (1972) The Titius-Bode Law of Planetary Distances, Its History and Theory. Pergamon Press, New York. [3] Dong, G.S. (1987) Preliminary Study on Commensurability of Strong Earthquakes (M > 8) within the Continent of China. Journal of Seismological Research, 10, 441-446. [4] Men, K.P. (2003) Ordered Network Feature of M > 7 Earthquakes and Its Prediction in Northern Part of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. Progress in Geophysics, 18, 765-771. [5] Hu, H. and Han, Y.B. (2005) Prediction of the Hualian Earthquakes in Taiwan and an Extended Discussion on the Method of Commensurability. Applied Geophysics, 2, 194-196.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11770-005-0023-7 [6] Fan, C.R. and Li, X.B. (2008) Commensurable Network Structural Drawing of Major Drought and Flood in Three Gorges of Changjiang and Bengbu of Huaihe. China Flood & Drought Management, 2, 41-45. [7] Lin, H., Su, Y.J., Han, Y.B. and Hu, H. (2009) Commensurability of the Earthquakes of Kunlun Area in Xinjiang. Journal of Natural disasters, 18, 189-191. [8] Zhang, Y.Z., et al. (1980) Encyclopaedia of China: Astronomy. Encyclopaedia of China Press, Beijing, 375, [9] Weng, W.B. (1981) Commensurability. Acta Geophysical Sinica, 24, 151-154. [10] Weng, W.B. (1984) Fundmentals of Forecasting Theory. Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing. [11] Xu, D.Y. (1992) The Prediction of California Earthquakes in USA in 1992—A Lecture Given by Prof. Weng Wen-Bo. Acta Geophysica Sinica, 36, 801. (In Chinese) [12] Weng, W.B. (1992) Letter of Green Giving to Weng Wenbo (Personal Communicate of Letter). In: Wang, M.T., et al., Eds., Academician Weng Wenbo and His Forecast for Natural Disaster, Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing, 235. [13] Green, C.H. (1992) Letter of Weng Wenbo Giving to Green (Personal Communicate of Letter). In: Wang, M.T., et al., Eds., Academician Weng Wenbo and His Forecast for Natural Disaster, Petrochemical Industry Press, Beijing, 233. [14] Long, X.X., Yan, J.P., Sun, H. and Wang, Z.Z. (2006) Study on Earthquake Tendency in Sichuan-Yunnan Region Based on Commensurability. Journal of Atastrophology, 21, 81-84. [15] Engdahl, E.R. and Villasenor, A. (2002) Global Seismicity: 1900-1999. In: Lee, H.K., Kanamori, H., Jennings, P.C., et al., Eds., International Handbook of Earthquake and Engineering Seismology, Part A, Academic Press, Amsterdam.