JGIS  Vol.6 No.4 , August 2014
GIS-Based Urbanization Prediction Model Considering Neighborhood Relationship of the Unit of the “Block” in the Outskirts of Metropolitan Area
Author(s) Kayoko Yamamoto
ABSTRACT

On the outskirts of the metropolitan areas in Japan, the rapid development of urban areas and the improvement in transportation networks have brought various land use problems in their wake, including urban diffusion and the phenomenon of urban sprawl. There is a strong need for accurate predictions of land-use change and future urbanization, as well as investigation of the appropriateness of present land use controls and the land use controls that will be required in the future. This study took as its object the outskirts of the Keihanshin (Kyoto-Osaka-Kobe) Metropolitan Area, the second largest conurbation in Japan after the Tokyo Metropolitan Area, and used the digital maps and spatial analysis offered by GIS. It aimed to: 1) describe the characteristics of land use controls, land use and urbanization; 2) develop an urbanization prediction model that considers the neighboring relationship of neighboring areas on a 100 m mesh unit; 3) apply this model to the study area and verify its validity regarding the conditions of present land use; 4) compare urbanization prediction results by this model with the present land use controls; and 5) make predictions for future urbanization and propose remedial measures for future land use controls.


Cite this paper
Yamamoto, K. (2014) GIS-Based Urbanization Prediction Model Considering Neighborhood Relationship of the Unit of the “Block” in the Outskirts of Metropolitan Area. Journal of Geographic Information System, 6, 330-344. doi: 10.4236/jgis.2014.64030.
References
[1]   Yamamoto, K. (1999) A Study on the Land Use Changes on the Basin of Lake Biwa in Shiga Prefecture. Papers on Environmental Information Science, 13, 239-244. (in Japanese)

[2]   Yamamoto, K. and Nakamura, M. (2000) Land-Use GIS Study for Environmental Conservation of Lake Biwa. The 4th International Conference on Integrating Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Environmental Modeling, Banff, September 2-8, 2000.
http://www.colorado.edu/research/cires/banff/pubpapers/135/

[3]   Yamamoto, K. (2001) An Examination of Land Use Plan from the Viewpoint of Urban Area on the Shore of Lake Biwa in Shiga Prefecture. Journal of the Japanese Institute of Landscape Architecture, 64, 797-800. (in Japanese)

[4]   Yamamoto, K. (2002) An Examination of Land Use Control from the Viewpoint of Urbanization in the Marginal Region of Metropolitan Area: A Case Study of Lake Biwa’s Drainage Basin. City Planning Review, 235, 65-76. (in Japanese) http://dx.doi.org/10.5632/jila.64.797

[5]   Yamamoto, K. (2003a) An Evaluation of Land Use Controls in the Land Use Master Plan in Lake Biwa’s Drainage Basin from the Viewpoint of Urbanization. Journal of the Japanese Institute of Landscape Architecture, 66, 883-888. (in Japanese) http://dx.doi.org/10.5632/jila.66.883

[6]   Yamamoto, K. (2003b) An Examination of Land Use Plan by Considering the Accessibility to Traffic Facilities in the Marginal Region of Metropolitan Area: A Case Study of Lake Biwa’s Drainage Basin. Environmental Information Science, 32, 43-55. (in Japanese)

[7]   Yamamoto, K. and Nakamura, M. (2004) An Examination of Land Use Controls in the Lake Biwa Watershed from the Perspective of Environmental Conservation and Management. Lakes & Reservoirs: Research and Management, 25, 217-228.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1440-1770.2004.00251.x

[8]   Yamamoto, K. (2005) Developing a GIS-Based Urbanization Prediction Method that takes into Account Neighborhood Relationship of the Unit of the “Block”: A Look at the Environs of the Keihanshin Metropolitan Area in Japan. AutoCarto Proceedings Papers 2005, 19 p.

[9]   Shiga Prefecture (2000) Mother Lake 21 Plan—Lake Biwa Comprehensive Conservation Plan. 65 p. (in Japanese).

 
 
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