Branching Process based Cascading Failure Probability Analysis for a Regional Power Grid in China with Utility Outage Data

Show more

References

[1] H. Ren and I. Dobson, “Using Transmission Line Outage Data to Estimate Cascading Failure Propagation in an Electric Power System,” IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems, Vol. 55, No. 9, 2008, pp. 927-931.
doi:10.1109/TCSII.2008.924365

[2] IEEE PES CAMS Task Force on understanding, prediction, mitigation and restoration of cascading failures, Initial review of methods for cascading failure analysis in electric power transmission systems,” IEEE Power Engineering Soc. General Meeting, Pittsburgh PA USA, Jun. 2008.

[3] D. Watts and H. Ren, “Classification and Discussion on Methods for Cascading Failure Analysis in Transmission System,” ICSET, Singapore, Nov. 2008.

[4] R. Adler, S. Daniel, C. Heising, M. Lauby, R. Ludorf and T. White, “An IEEE Survey of US and Canadian Overhead Transmission Outages at 230 kV and above,” IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, Vol. 9, No. 1, 1994, pp. 21 -39.doi:10.1109/61.277677

[5] Q. Chen, C. Jiang, W. Qiu and J. D. McCalley, “Probability Models for Estimating the Probabilities of Cascading Outages in High-voltage Transmission Network,” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 21, No.3, August 2006, pp.1423-1431. doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2006.879249

[6] I. Dobson, “Estimating the Propagation and Extent of Cascading Line Outages from Utility Data with a Branching Process,” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 27, No.4, 2012, pp. 2146-2155.
doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2190112

[7] Information on Electric System Disturbances in North America can be Downloaded from the NERC Website at
http://www.nerc.com/dawg/database.html.

[8] Bonneville Power Administration Transmission Services Operations & Reliability website
http://transmission.bpa.gov/Business/Operations/Outages.

[9] Q. Chen and J. D. McCalley, “A Cluster Distribution as a Model for Estimating High-order Event Probabilities in Power Systems,” 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems. Ames, Iowa, 2004, 622-628.

[10] B. A. Carreras, D. E. Newman, I. Dobson and A. Poole, “Initial Evidence for Self-organized Criticality in Electric Power System Blackouts,” Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2000, pp. 1411-1416. doi:10.1109/HICSS.2000.926768

[11] I. Dobson, J. Chen, J. Thorp, B. A. Carreras and D. E. Newman, “Examining Criticality of Blackouts in Power System Models with Cascading Events,” Proceedings of the 35th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2002, pp. 803-812.
doi:10.1109/HICSS.2002.993975

[12] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras and D. E. Newman, “A Branching Process Approximation to Cascading Load-dependent System Failure,” The 37th HICSS. 2004.

[13] I. Dobson, K. R. Wierzbicki, B. A. Carreras, V. E. Lynch and D. E. Newman, “An Estimator of Propagation of Cascading Failure,” the 39th HICSS．2006．

[14] I. Dobson, K. Wierzbicki, B. A. Carreras, V. Lynch and D. E. Newman, “An Estimator of Propagation of Cascading Failure,” The 39th HICSS, 2006.

[15] R. E. Walpole, Probability & Statistics for Engineers & Scientists, Seventh Edition. Pearson Education Asia Limited and Tsinghua University Press.